Tuesday morning, August 23, 2016
Forecaster: James Spann
TYPICAL LATE AUGUST WEATHER: The upper ridge will rebuild across the Deep South in coming days, setting up some classic August weather each day. Partly sunny, hot, humid, and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms”. The storms will be widely scattered, generally speaking, than last week. Highs will be mostly in the low 90s; a few spots could reach the mid 90s late in the week.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: It’s a persistence forecast. No real change… highs 90-95, partly sunny days, with a passing shower or storm possible during the afternoon and evening hours. And, of course, the storms on summer afternoons here are very random and scattered, and there is no way of knowing in advance where and when they pop up.
The same pattern holds into next week as the upper ridge remains in place. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine daily on the coast through the weekend (from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores)… widely scattered showers and storms remain possible each day, but nothing widespread. Highs on the immediate coast in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
TROPICAL TRIO: As you might expect, we have action in the Atlantic basin.
FIONA: This is a weakening tropical depression hanging on for dear life; it should dissipate over the next day or two over the open water of the Central Atlantic; no threat to land.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN: This formed yesterday in the eastern Atlantic, and should become Tropical Storm Gaston soon. A decent chance this reaches hurricane strength, but it will be gaining latitude, and should recurve over the open water. Like Fiona, this seems to be no threat to land.
99L: This wave has a chance of slow development in coming days; it is currently fighting dry air surrounding the system. Most models bring this to a point east of the Bahamas in five days; it is simply too early to know if this will recurve over the open Atlantic, or be a threat to the U.S. Atlantic coast. Odds are high this will not impact the Gulf of Mexico.